Actuarial science and pensions
Development of bespoke actuarial, demographic and financial models tailored to the obligations, financing arrangements and questions of each social security system.
Sustainability · Adequacy · CoverageACTUARIAL SCIENCE · DEMOGRAPHY · SOCIAL SECURITY
Actuarial science, demography and statistics for social security. Bespoke actuarial, demographic and financial models, tailored to each client's scheme, data and questions, without reliance on an external platform or licence.
Métrica Consultores Evidence · Method · Perspective
Actuarial scienceValuations and scenarios
DemographyPopulation, mortality and longevity
StatisticsData, indicators and studies
PlanningEvidence for management
01 / APPROACH
Social security is central to Métrica's approach. Actuarial science, demography and statistics inform bespoke models tailored to each scheme, its data and its questions, without reliance on an external platform or licence. Scenarios make assumptions and uncertainty explicit to support informed decisions.
Development of bespoke actuarial, demographic and financial models tailored to the obligations, financing arrangements and questions of each social security system.
Sustainability · Adequacy · CoverageAnalysis of mortality, ageing and healthy life expectancy to understand social protection needs and how they change over time.
Population · Health · InequalitiesAssessment of data and indicators to support modelling, monitoring and planning in social security institutions.
Evidence · Strategy · ResultsEvidence-based advice to senior management on strategic social security decisions, drawing on scenarios and institutional context.
Senior management · Evidence · Decisions02 / MÉTRICA CONSULTORES
Métrica is an actuarial, demographic and statistical consultancy focused on social security, pension systems and pension funds.
Each project begins by defining its questions and objectives. Methodology and data are then assessed, and findings are communicated with their assumptions and limitations.
Advice to senior management connects available evidence with strategic objectives through the assessment of alternatives and scenarios.
Technical rigour · Independent judgement
Responsibility · Clear findings
Actuarial valuation of obligations and analysis of financing for pension systems and pension funds under explicit scenarios.
Bespoke actuarial, demographic and financial models tailored to each client's scheme, data and questions, without reliance on an external platform or licence.
Data and models to assess obligations, results and management needs.
Population and statistical evidence to support planning and research.
Technical advice on actuarial risk analysis.
Scope and deliverables are agreed for each project according to its objectives and available information.
03 / AN ACTUARIAL QUESTION
A simple example explores the relationship between contributors, benefits and contribution financing.
The controls show how much expenditure would be covered under each combination. Every result depends on the selected assumptions.
Explore the studiesUnder these assumptions, contributions would cover 107.7% of benefit expenditure in a hypothetical year.
Coverage = (A / B) × τ / ρ, where A denotes annual equivalent contributors, B annual equivalent benefits, τ the effective contribution rate and ρ the average benefit relative to average covered earnings.
Contribution revenue equals A × earnings × τ, and expenditure equals B × benefit. Earnings and benefits share the same reference period, with contributions applied to the full earnings amount.
Tax revenue, administrative costs, reserves and differences between schemes are excluded. Values are hypothetical; the result is a simplified accounting identity with no assigned probabilities. It is not a projection of Argentina's SIPA or an assessment of long-term sustainability.
04 / STUDIES AND RESEARCH
Consultancy projects and contributions by its director. Each entry identifies the role, publication date or reference period, and original source.
Publications and studies authored by, or involving technical contributions from, Matías Belliard and the consultancy. Each retains its original date, source and scope.
Paper presented at the International Congress of Actuaries, Cape Town, March 2010. Full text in English.
FEATURED READING · PUBLIC ENGAGEMENT · 2025
Healthy life expectancy brings health status into the analysis of longevity, raising questions for health and social security policy.
Read the article (opens in a new tab)
IMAGE FROM MÉTRICA'S ARCHIVE2022 · EVALUATION REPORT · FIELDWORK BEGAN IN 2020
Métrica worked with Nexos Economía y Desarrollo on fieldwork for the impact evaluation of the Inclusive Rural Development Programme, co-financed by IFAD and Argentina's Ministry of Agriculture.
View project background (in Spanish) (opens in a new tab)
2023 · CEPAL / NOTAS DE POBLACIÓN
Analysis of changes in 2020 by age, sex and cause of death.
View article (opens in a new tab)
2021 · REVISTA ARGENTINA DE MEDICINA
Public policy recommendations for Argentina's population aged 15–29.
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2013 · POBLACIÓN DE BUENOS AIRES
Comparative analysis of healthy life expectancy in Buenos Aires City, Chaco and Argentina as a whole.
Read the full PDF ↗
2012 · REVISTA INTERNACIONAL DE SEGURIDAD SOCIAL
Analysis of disability pension risks using administrative records of SIPA workers, 2000–2006.
Read the full PDF ↗Baseline and reform scenarios. Report for the Asociación Argentina de Presupuesto y Administración Financiera Pública.
Final report · November 2019 · 66 pages.
Expected years of life without permanent limitations, disaggregated by sex and province.
Study published in November 2013 · 156 pages.
Application of the Lee–Carter model to 1980–2010 data to project mortality tables to 2050.
CONSULTING EXPERIENCE
Selected projects from Métrica and its director's professional career, including work preceding the consultancy's establishment.
Actuarial projections published in 2013 and 2019. Technical notes on the actuarial balance sheet were prepared for inclusion in the Fund's financial statements over ten years.
View studies and background (in Spanish) →Actuarial valuations for accounting recognition: retirement and long-service benefits for employees covered by and outside collective agreements. Experience across business sectors.
Matías Belliard served as lead actuary, managing a team for the valuation and projection of the pension system. Experience using ILO/PENSIONS.
Matías Belliard participated in the actuarial valuation of the general health and occupational risk scheme, using ILO/HEALTH.
The summaries for businesses, Panama and El Salvador describe professional experience without disclosing confidential reports or findings.
05 / CONSULTANCY DIRECTOR
Director of Métrica Consultores
Actuary, demographer and master's graduate, with over twenty years of professional experience in public management, international consulting, research and university teaching.
His technical and academic experience informs the consultancy's approach and its integration of actuarial science, demography and statistics.
He previously served as Provincial Director of Statistics for the Province of Buenos Aires. His career combines public management, actuarial consulting and the production of social security information.
He has contributed to ILO actuarial and demographic projects in Panama and El Salvador, and has taught at UBA, UNLu, UNM, USAL and UADE.
Adjunct lecturer in an advanced course in the Actuarial Science degree programme.
UBA course catalogue · 2026 ↗Experience in actuarial valuations and projections for pension and health systems.
Consulting assignments in Panama and El Salvador, and studies for the CJPRC.Provincial Directorate of Statistics, Province of Buenos Aires · 2015–2020.
Management of statistical information to understand the territory and support decisions.Actuarial and statistical roles at SAFJP and ANSES · 2004–2015.
Technical analysis of pension systems and production of statistical information.Scientific research, university teaching and international consulting.
07 / CONTACT
Métrica Consultores welcomes enquiries and the opportunity to understand each organisation's needs and support its decisions. An initial conversation helps explore options and define how to add value to each project.
CONSULTING · MÉTRICAinfo@metricaconsultores.com.arBuenos Aires, Argentina · A Latin American perspective